Atletico Nacional vs Chapecoense-sc Saturday 26th September 2026 11:30 PM football predictions. - Dukamneti Sports
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Sept. 26, 2026 3 days, 18 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Atletico Nacional Chapecoense-sc
Atletico Nacional L W W W W W
Chapecoense-sc D L W L W D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 21, 26 Away Llaneros 2 - 0 Loss
Sep 17, 26 Away La Equidad 2 - 3 Win
Sep 13, 26 Home Rionegro Aguilas 2 - 0 Win
Sep 8, 26 Home Deportivo Cali 3 - 0 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away Alianza Petrolera 1 - 5 Win
Aug 27, 26 Home Deportivo Cali 2 - 1 Win

Chapecoense-sc Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Sep 19, 26 Away Atletico-MG 1 - 1 Draw
Sep 12, 26 Home Internacional 1 - 2 Loss
Sep 6, 26 Away Corinthians 1 - 2 Win
Aug 30, 26 Away Gremio 3 - 1 Loss
Aug 23, 26 Home Sao Paulo 1 - 0 Win
Aug 16, 26 Home Bahia 3 - 3 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.42% likelihood that both Atletico Nacional and Chapecoense-sc will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Atletico Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 54.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.34 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.16% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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