Primera A
Match Analysis
Atletico Nacional
Millonarios
Atletico Nacional
W
W
W
W
L
W
Millonarios
D
L
D
W
D
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Millonarios | Atletico Nacional | 3 - 0 | March 18, 2026 |
| Atletico Nacional | Millonarios | 1 - 3 | March 5, 2026 |
| Atletico Nacional | Millonarios | 2 - 0 | September 28, 2025 |
| Atletico Nacional | Millonarios | 0 - 1 | June 17, 2025 |
| Millonarios | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 0 | June 6, 2025 |
| Millonarios | Atletico Nacional | 0 - 0 | April 13, 2025 |
Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cali | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 30, 26 | Away | Alianza Petrolera | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Deportivo Cali | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Jaguares | 0 - 3 | Win |
Millonarios Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 26 | Away | Deportivo Pereira | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Sep 3, 26 | Away | Santa Fe | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | La Equidad | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 27, 26 | Away | Llaneros | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Rionegro Aguilas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pasto | 2 - 0 | Win |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 30 | 22 | 1 | 7 | 61 | 25 | +36 | 67 |
| 8 | Millonarios | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 29 | +11 | 38 |
Predictions
Atletico Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 59.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.08 %Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments