Atletico Nacional vs Santa Fe Sunday 16th August 2026 04:10 AM football predictions.

Atletico Nacional Santa Fe

Atletico Nacional W W L W L W

Santa Fe W L W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Santa Fe	Atletico Nacional	1 - 2	February 26, 2026
Atletico Nacional	Santa Fe	1 - 1	July 26, 2025
Santa Fe	Atletico Nacional	1 - 2	June 13, 2025
Atletico Nacional	Santa Fe	1 - 2	June 8, 2025
Santa Fe	Atletico Nacional	2 - 2	February 13, 2025
Santa Fe	Atletico Nacional	0 - 3	December 9, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Away	Tigres FC	0 - 2	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Tigres FC	2 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Deportivo Tachira FC	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 8, 26	Home	Junior	1 - 0	Win
Jun 3, 26	Away	Junior	3 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Deportes Tolima	3 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Caracas FC	0 - 3	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Rionegro Aguilas	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 24, 26	Home	Caracas FC	2 - 0	Win
May 28, 26	Away	Penarol	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Junior	0 - 0	Draw
May 20, 26	Home	Platense	2 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Atletico Nacional	25	18	1	6	49	21	+28	55
6	Santa Fe	24	8	11	5	36	26	+10	35

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.33% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 61.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.96 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply