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Copa Colombia

July 22, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Atletico Nacional Tigres FC
Atletico Nacional W L W W W W
Tigres FC L L L W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Tigres FC Atletico Nacional 1 - 0 November 13, 2017
Atletico Nacional Tigres FC 0 - 0 May 12, 2017

Atletico Nacional Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 8, 26 Home Junior 1 - 0 Win
Jun 3, 26 Away Junior 3 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Deportes Tolima 3 - 1 Win
May 16, 26 Away Deportes Tolima 0 - 1 Win
May 12, 26 Home La Equidad 7 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away La Equidad 1 - 2 Win

Tigres FC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 6, 25 Home America de Cali 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 30, 25 Away America de Cali 5 - 0 Loss
May 16, 24 Away Jaguares 3 - 0 Loss
May 10, 24 Home Jaguares 5 - 3 Win
Apr 24, 24 Home Cucuta 1 - 0 Win
Apr 9, 24 Away Cucuta 0 - 0 Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.48% likelihood that both Atletico Nacional and Tigres FC will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Atletico Nacional to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Nacional has a 65.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.04 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.83% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.85% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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