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Primera División - Apertura logo

Primera División - Apertura

July 20, 2026 1 week, 5 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Atletico Torque Danubio
Atletico Torque L W D W W L
Danubio D D L L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Danubio Atletico Torque 1 - 1 April 4, 2026
Danubio Atletico Torque 2 - 0 September 28, 2025
Danubio Atletico Torque 3 - 2 June 7, 2025
Atletico Torque Danubio 1 - 1 March 30, 2025
Danubio Atletico Torque 0 - 1 August 20, 2023
Danubio Atletico Torque 1 - 0 June 16, 2023

Atletico Torque Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 6, 26 Home Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 4 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Albion FC 1 - 2 Win
May 26, 26 Away Gremio 2 - 2 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Progreso 1 - 2 Win
May 19, 26 Home Deportivo Riestra 4 - 1 Win
May 15, 26 Home Club Nacional 1 - 2 Loss

Danubio Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 5, 26 Home Juventud 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 5, 26 Away Wanderers 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Home Progreso 1 - 2 Loss
May 18, 26 Away Deportivo Maldonado 3 - 1 Loss
May 9, 26 Home Albion FC 0 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Liverpool Montevideo 3 - 0 Loss

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
7 Atletico Torque 19 8 5 6 29 24 +5 29
13 Danubio 18 4 7 7 19 26 -7 19

Predictions

Atletico Torque to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Torque has a 42.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.69 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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