Primera División - Apertura
Match Analysis
Atletico Torque
Penarol
Atletico Torque
L
W
W
L
L
W
Penarol
W
W
D
W
L
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Penarol | Atletico Torque | 3 - 1 | February 7, 2026 |
| Atletico Torque | Penarol | 0 - 2 | November 9, 2025 |
| Penarol | Atletico Torque | 2 - 1 | May 17, 2025 |
| Atletico Torque | Penarol | 2 - 3 | October 18, 2023 |
| Penarol | Atletico Torque | 2 - 0 | July 3, 2023 |
| Penarol | Atletico Torque | 2 - 2 | March 12, 2023 |
Atletico Torque Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Wanderers | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 24, 26 | Home | Danubio | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Juventud | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Bahia | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 6, 26 | Home | Deportivo Maldonado | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| May 31, 26 | Away | Albion FC | 1 - 2 | Win |
Penarol Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Cerro Largo | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Boston River | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | Racing Montevideo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Cerro | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 1, 26 | Home | Central Espanol | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| May 28, 26 | Home | Santa Fe | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Primera División - Apertura Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 35 | 19 | +16 | 43 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 33 | 27 | +6 | 35 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.84% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Penarol to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Penarol has a 36.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.39 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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