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Primera División - Apertura

Aug. 1, 2026 3 weeks, 6 days ago
0 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Atletico Torque Wanderers
Atletico Torque W W L L W D
Wanderers W W D W D D
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

Atletico Torque are favored on quality grounds, but the fixture is highly competitive because Wanderers arrive with strong recent form and better rest while recent meetings have mostly ended level. The model leans toward a home win (49%) and sees a reasonable chance of goals at both ends (54% for both teams to score), with the match expected to stay active—it flags over 1.5 goals as the clearest lean, though the model also slightly favors over 2.5. The combination of Atletico's quality advantage, Wanderers' good form, and the pattern of level recent results suggests an open match that could go either way but is likely to produce multiple goals.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Wanderers Atletico Torque 0 - 4 February 22, 2026
Atletico Torque Wanderers 2 - 2 October 12, 2025
Wanderers Atletico Torque 0 - 0 April 12, 2025
Wanderers Atletico Torque 2 - 1 September 1, 2023
Wanderers Atletico Torque 1 - 1 July 16, 2023
Atletico Torque Wanderers 0 - 1 February 20, 2023

Atletico Torque Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 24, 26 Home Danubio 1 - 0 Win
Jul 11, 26 Away Juventud 1 - 3 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Bahia 4 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Home Deportivo Maldonado 2 - 4 Loss
May 31, 26 Away Albion FC 1 - 2 Win
May 26, 26 Away Gremio 2 - 2 Draw

Wanderers Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Away Club Nacional 1 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Progreso 2 - 0 Win
Jun 5, 26 Home Danubio 0 - 0 Draw
May 31, 26 Away Juventud 2 - 5 Win
May 24, 26 Home Deportivo Maldonado 1 - 1 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Albion FC 0 - 0 Draw

Primera División - Apertura Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Atletico Torque 21 10 5 6 33 25 +8 35
8 Wanderers 21 9 5 7 26 25 +1 32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.41% likelihood that both Atletico Torque and Wanderers will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Atletico Torque to win
This prediction indicates that Atletico Torque has a 48.75% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.88 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.58% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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