Atlético Madrid II vs Villarreal II Friday 25th September 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Sept. 25, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Atlético Madrid II Villarreal II

Atlético Madrid II W D L L L D

Villarreal II W W L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Atlético Madrid II	Villarreal II	1 - 1	January 24, 2026
Villarreal II	Atlético Madrid II	1 - 3	October 3, 2025
Atlético Madrid II	Villarreal II	1 - 0	February 21, 2025
Villarreal II	Atlético Madrid II	3 - 2	November 24, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 6, 26	Away	Hércules	0 - 2	Win
Aug 30, 26	Home	Juventud Torremolinos	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 13, 26	Home	Mirandes	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 8, 26	Away	Gimnástica Segoviana	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Home	Ponferradina	0 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Ponferradina	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 4, 26	Home	Algeciras	2 - 1	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Rayo Majadahonda	1 - 2	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Zaragoza	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 4, 26	Away	Eldense	1 - 3	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Zamora FC	2 - 0	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Zamora FC	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Villarreal II	2	2	0	0	4	2	+2	6
12	Atlético Madrid II	1	0	1	0	2	2	0	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.45% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Atlético Madrid II has a 36.58% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.86 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.86% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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