Atyrau vs Ordabasy Thursday 17th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Premier League

Sept. 17, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Atyrau Ordabasy

Atyrau L L D D L L

Ordabasy W W W W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ordabasy	Atyrau	1 - 1	April 4, 2026
Ordabasy	Atyrau	2 - 2	August 3, 2025
Atyrau	Ordabasy	1 - 2	May 3, 2025
Ordabasy	Atyrau	1 - 0	September 15, 2024
Atyrau	Ordabasy	1 - 1	March 6, 2024
Atyrau	Ordabasy	1 - 1	July 15, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 30, 26	Home	FC Astana	2 - 3	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Home	Okzhetpes	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	Aktobe	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 1, 26	Home	Zhetysu	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	1 - 3	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	Kyzyl-Zhar	3 - 0	Win
Aug 15, 26	Home	Altay	3 - 1	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Zhetysu	0 - 4	Win
Aug 2, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	2 - 0	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Home	Yelimay Semey	3 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	23	17	4	2	46	16	+30	55
15	Atyrau	22	2	11	9	16	25	-9	17

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ordabasy has a 62.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.57 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.97% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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