Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey Sunday 21st June 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Atyrau Yelimay Semey

Atyrau D D D D D W

Yelimay Semey L W W D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Yelimay Semey	Atyrau	3 - 2	October 26, 2025
Atyrau	Yelimay Semey	2 - 1	March 1, 2025
Atyrau	Yelimay Semey	1 - 0	October 26, 2024
Yelimay Semey	Atyrau	0 - 0	March 2, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	Kairat Almaty	1 - 1	Draw
May 28, 26	Home	FK Tobol Kostanay	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Zhetysu	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Aktobe	1 - 1	Draw
May 9, 26	Away	Okzhetpes	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Altay	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 14, 26	Home	Ordabasy	1 - 3	Loss
May 28, 26	Away	Kaisar	2 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Zhenys	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Irtysh	2 - 2	Draw
May 9, 26	Home	Kaspiy	0 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Away	Ulytau	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
6	Yelimay Semey	13	5	5	3	20	17	+3	20
9	Atyrau	13	2	9	2	9	8	+1	15

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Yelimay Semey has a 46.56% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.44 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

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