Aubagne vs Thionville Lusitanos Friday 07th August 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Aubagne Thionville Lusitanos

Aubagne L W D L L L

Thionville Lusitanos D W W L D D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Aubagne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Montpellier	3 - 2	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Caen	3 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Gobelins	1 - 1	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	Stade Briochin	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 24, 26	Away	Rouen	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 17, 26	Home	Orleans	0 - 2	Loss

Thionville Lusitanos Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Nancy	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Progres Niederkorn	0 - 5	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	RM Hamm Benfica	0 - 4	Win
Nov 15, 25	Away	Racing Besançon	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Home	Progres Niederkorn	1 - 1	Draw
Dec 22, 24	Home	Valenciennes	2 - 2	Draw

National 1 Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Thionville Lusitanos	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Aubagne	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.06% likelihood that both Aubagne and Thionville Lusitanos will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Thionville Lusitanos to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Thionville Lusitanos has a 36.5% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.37 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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