Auda vs Grobiņa Friday 04th September 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Virsliga

Sept. 4, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Auda Grobiņa

Auda L W W W W W

Grobiņa L L D L W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Grobiņa	Auda	0 - 0	June 25, 2026
Auda	Grobiņa	7 - 0	May 7, 2026
Grobiņa	Auda	0 - 2	March 14, 2026
Grobiņa	Auda	2 - 2	November 9, 2025
Auda	Grobiņa	1 - 0	August 24, 2025
Grobiņa	Auda	1 - 2	June 18, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 13, 26	Away	Dinamo Tirana	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 9, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	0 - 1	Win
Aug 4, 26	Home	Dinamo Tirana	1 - 0	Win
Jul 30, 26	Home	FCSB	4 - 1	Win
Jul 26, 26	Home	BFC Daugavpils	1 - 0	Win
Jul 23, 26	Away	FCSB	2 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 10, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	6 - 1	Loss
Aug 2, 26	Away	Riga	4 - 0	Loss
Jul 27, 26	Home	Ogre United	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 20, 26	Away	Super Nova	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 1	Win
Jun 29, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	2 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Auda	24	14	4	6	39	26	+13	46
8	Grobiņa	25	4	9	12	17	41	-24	21

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Auda has a 69.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.52 %

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