Auda vs Ogre United Monday 03rd August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Auda Ogre United

Auda D L D W L D

Ogre United L W L W L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Auda	Ogre United	2 - 0	May 30, 2026
Ogre United	Auda	1 - 1	April 17, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 29, 26	Home	Riga	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 25, 26	Away	Grobiņa	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Super Nova	0 - 2	Win
Jun 17, 26	Away	Tukums	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	FS Jelgava	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	BFC Daugavpils	0 - 4	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Away	Super Nova	1 - 2	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	FK Liepaja	4 - 0	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Home	Tukums	3 - 2	Win
Jun 22, 26	Away	Rīgas FS	6 - 0	Loss
Jun 17, 26	Away	FS Jelgava	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Auda	22	12	4	6	37	26	+11	40
10	Ogre United	22	3	4	15	21	55	-34	13

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.42% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Auda has a 68.24% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.83 %

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