Austin vs FC Dallas Monday 17th August 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Austin FC Dallas

Austin L L W W L L

FC Dallas D L D W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Dallas	Austin	2 - 0	September 14, 2025
Austin	FC Dallas	1 - 1	August 17, 2025
FC Dallas	Austin	3 - 1	July 18, 2024
FC Dallas	Austin	2 - 1	May 12, 2024
Austin	FC Dallas	2 - 1	March 31, 2024
FC Dallas	Austin	1 - 0	August 27, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Away	Colorado Rapids	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Houston Dynamo	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	Seattle Sounders	3 - 1	Win
Jul 8, 26	Home	Sporting JAX	4 - 0	Win
Jul 3, 26	Home	Club Queretaro	0 - 1	Loss
May 23, 26	Away	St. Louis City	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 2, 26	Away	Los Angeles Galaxy	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 26, 26	Away	San Diego	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Away	Portland Timbers	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Colorado Rapids	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Away	San Jose Earthquakes	2 - 3	Win
May 14, 26	Home	Vancouver Whitecaps	2 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	FC Dallas	17	7	5	5	32	25	+7	26
26	Austin	17	4	5	8	22	35	-13	17

This prediction indicates that Austin has a 37.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.68 %

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