Ligue 1
Match Analysis
Auxerre
Nice
Auxerre
L
W
D
D
L
W
Nice
D
D
D
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auxerre | Nice | 2 - 1 | May 10, 2026 |
| Nice | Auxerre | 3 - 1 | August 23, 2025 |
| Nice | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | March 14, 2025 |
| Auxerre | Nice | 2 - 1 | August 18, 2024 |
| Nice | Auxerre | 0 - 0 | January 6, 2024 |
| Nice | Auxerre | 1 - 1 | March 3, 2023 |
Auxerre Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Lens | 5 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Werder Bremen | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Estac Troyes | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Away | Sochaux | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Orleans | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | St Maur Lusitanos | 5 - 2 | Win |
Nice Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Lorient | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Hull City | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Cagliari | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 31, 26 | Away | Juventus | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Marseille | 0 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Nimes | 4 - 0 | Win |
Ligue 1 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Auxerre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
Predictions
Nice to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Nice has a 36.88% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.10 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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