Avellino vs Arezzo Saturday 22nd August 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

Serie B

Aug. 22, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Avellino Arezzo

Avellino L W W L W L

Arezzo D L L D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Lazio	6 - 3	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Sambenedettese	0 - 5	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Scafatese	3 - 1	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Catanzaro	3 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Modena	1 - 0	Win
May 1, 26	Away	Empoli	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	Parma	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 29, 26	Home	Albinoleffe	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Away	Atalanta	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Folgore Caratese	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 22, 26	Away	Napoli	1 - 3	Win
Apr 26, 26	Home	Torres	3 - 1	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Arezzo	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Avellino	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Avellino has a 41.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.01 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.65% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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