Avispa Fukuoka vs Cerezo Osaka Saturday 15th August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka Cerezo Osaka

Avispa Fukuoka W L W D L D

Cerezo Osaka W W W D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cerezo Osaka	Avispa Fukuoka	1 - 1	May 3, 2026
Avispa Fukuoka	Cerezo Osaka	0 - 2	February 15, 2026
Avispa Fukuoka	Cerezo Osaka	2 - 4	September 13, 2025
Cerezo Osaka	Avispa Fukuoka	2 - 0	May 24, 2025
Cerezo Osaka	Avispa Fukuoka	1 - 0	November 9, 2024
Avispa Fukuoka	Cerezo Osaka	0 - 3	May 18, 2024

Avispa Fukuoka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	Osaka	3 - 2	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Kitakyushu	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	JEF United Chiba	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	JEF United Chiba	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Vissel Kobe	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Shimizu S-pulse	1 - 1	Draw

Cerezo Osaka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Borussia Dortmund	1 - 0	Win
Jul 15, 26	Home	Tochigi City	1 - 0	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	FC Tokyo	1 - 3	Win
May 30, 26	Home	FC Tokyo	2 - 2	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Fagiano Okayama	2 - 3	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Nagoya Grampus	6 - 1	Win

J1 League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Cerezo Osaka	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Avispa Fukuoka	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Cerezo Osaka to win

This prediction indicates that Cerezo Osaka has a 45.92% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.19 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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