Avispa Fukuoka vs JEF United Chiba Saturday 30th May 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

Avispa Fukuoka JEF United Chiba

Avispa Fukuoka L D D D D L

JEF United Chiba L L L W L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Avispa Fukuoka	JEF United Chiba	1 - 0	October 25, 2020
JEF United Chiba	Avispa Fukuoka	2 - 2	September 2, 2020
JEF United Chiba	Avispa Fukuoka	3 - 0	July 20, 2019
Avispa Fukuoka	JEF United Chiba	0 - 1	March 30, 2019
JEF United Chiba	Avispa Fukuoka	3 - 3	September 16, 2018
Avispa Fukuoka	JEF United Chiba	3 - 1	April 22, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Home	Vissel Kobe	0 - 1	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Shimizu S-pulse	1 - 1	Draw
May 6, 26	Home	Kyoto Sanga	1 - 1	Draw
May 3, 26	Away	Cerezo Osaka	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 29, 26	Home	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Away	Fagiano Okayama	2 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 23, 26	Away	Kashiwa Reysol	4 - 2	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	Kashima	0 - 2	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Machida Zelvia	0 - 2	Loss
May 6, 26	Away	FC Tokyo	0 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Urawa	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 29, 26	Home	Yokohama F. Marinos	2 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
18	Avispa Fukuoka	18	3	8	7	17	27	-10	17
20	JEF United Chiba	18	3	3	12	18	31	-13	12

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.11% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Avispa Fukuoka has a 36.27% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.21 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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