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Emperor Cup

Aug. 26, 2026 5 days, 6 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Avispa Fukuoka Verspah Oita
Avispa Fukuoka W L W L W D
Verspah Oita W L L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Avispa Fukuoka Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Home Cerezo Osaka 3 - 0 Win
Aug 8, 26 Home Vissel Kobe 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 19, 26 Home Osaka 3 - 2 Win
Jul 11, 26 Home Kitakyushu 1 - 2 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away JEF United Chiba 1 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Home JEF United Chiba 2 - 2 Draw

Verspah Oita Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 19, 26 Home Kochi United 3 - 0 Win
Jul 28, 26 Away Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 - 0 Loss
Jul 20, 26 Away Sagan Tosu 7 - 1 Loss
May 25, 25 Away Okinawa SV 4 - 1 Loss
Jan 24, 24 Away Oita Trinita 2 - 0 Loss
Jul 12, 23 Away Consadole Sapporo 5 - 2 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.22% likelihood that both Avispa Fukuoka and Verspah Oita will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Avispa Fukuoka to win
This prediction indicates that Avispa Fukuoka has a 57.63% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.64 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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