Avondale vs Dandenong Thunder Saturday 20th June 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Avondale Dandenong Thunder

Avondale W W W L W W

Dandenong Thunder L L L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Dandenong Thunder	Avondale	0 - 1	March 7, 2026
Avondale	Dandenong Thunder	1 - 1	June 28, 2025
Dandenong Thunder	Avondale	2 - 1	March 22, 2025
Avondale	Dandenong Thunder	2 - 1	July 20, 2024
Dandenong Thunder	Avondale	0 - 8	April 20, 2024
Avondale	Dandenong Thunder	5 - 1	July 8, 2023

Avondale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Green Gully	0 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Bentleigh Greens	4 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	South Melbourne	0 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Hume City	3 - 0	Loss
May 9, 26	Home	Altona Magic	5 - 1	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Sunshine Georgies	5 - 2	Win

Dandenong Thunder Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 6, 26	Home	Sunshine Georgies	2 - 3	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Heidelberg United	4 - 2	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	Melbourne City II	2 - 0	Loss
May 16, 26	Home	St. Albans Saints	2 - 2	Draw
May 8, 26	Away	Oakleigh Cannons	2 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Preston Lions	0 - 1	Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Avondale	16	10	1	5	39	19	+20	31
13	Dandenong Thunder	16	3	3	10	19	27	-8	12

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.86% likelihood that both Avondale and Dandenong Thunder will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Avondale to win

This prediction indicates that Avondale has a 64.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.36 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 69.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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