Avondale vs Preston Lions Saturday 04th July 2026 08:00 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Avondale Preston Lions

Avondale L W W W W L

Preston Lions W W W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Preston Lions	Avondale	2 - 1	March 20, 2026
Preston Lions	Avondale	1 - 1	June 22, 2025
Avondale	Preston Lions	3 - 1	March 15, 2025

Avondale Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 26, 26	Away	Dandenong City	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Dandenong Thunder	11 - 0	Win
Jun 5, 26	Away	Green Gully	0 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Home	Bentleigh Greens	4 - 0	Win
May 25, 26	Away	South Melbourne	0 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Hume City	3 - 0	Loss

Preston Lions Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	Sunshine Georgies	0 - 2	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Heidelberg United	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	0 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Altona Magic	1 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Dandenong City	1 - 0	Win

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Avondale	18	11	1	6	51	22	+29	34
4	Preston Lions	17	10	2	5	25	13	+12	32

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.02% likelihood that both Avondale and Preston Lions will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Avondale to win

This prediction indicates that Avondale has a 54.54% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.68 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions View plans

Comments

[[ comment.user.username ]]

This comment has been removed

[[ comment.user.username ]]

[[ comment.comment ]]

[[comment.humanizedSubmitDate]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.starsCount]] [[comment.repliesCount]] Reply Reply