Championship
Match Analysis
Ayr Utd
Arbroath
Ayr Utd
W
W
W
W
W
L
Arbroath
W
W
W
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | Arbroath | 1 - 0 | April 11, 2026 |
| Arbroath | Ayr Utd | 1 - 1 | March 3, 2026 |
| Ayr Utd | Arbroath | 1 - 1 | November 15, 2025 |
| Arbroath | Ayr Utd | 1 - 1 | August 1, 2025 |
| Ayr Utd | Arbroath | 4 - 0 | July 19, 2025 |
| Ayr Utd | Arbroath | 5 - 0 | April 13, 2024 |
Ayr Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14, 26 | Away | Falkirk | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Stranraer | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Airdrie United | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Dumbarton | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | Glenafton Athletic | 3 - 0 | Win |
| May 1, 26 | Home | ST Johnstone | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Arbroath Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Spartans | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Brechin | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Away | Dunipace | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jun 27, 26 | Home | ST Mirren | 2 - 4 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Dunfermline | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 5, 26 | Away | Dunfermline | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | Arbroath | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Ayr Utd | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Ayr Utd to win
This prediction indicates that Ayr Utd has a 42.43% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.50 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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