Championship
Match Analysis
Ayr Utd
Inverness CT
Ayr Utd
L
L
D
W
W
W
Inverness CT
D
L
D
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 1 - 2 | February 24, 2026 |
| Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | 1 - 2 | March 16, 2024 |
| Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 1 - 3 | January 6, 2024 |
| Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | 3 - 1 | November 11, 2023 |
| Ayr Utd | Inverness CT | 1 - 0 | August 12, 2023 |
| Inverness CT | Ayr Utd | 1 - 2 | May 5, 2023 |
Ayr Utd Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Raith Rovers | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 26 | Away | Kilmarnock | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Dunfermline | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Arbroath | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Alloa Athletic | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Edinburgh City | 2 - 0 | Win |
Inverness CT Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 26 | Home | Partick | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Heart Of Midlothian | 6 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Arbroath | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Dunfermline | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Morton | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 21, 26 | Home | ST Johnstone | 1 - 0 | Win |
Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Ayr Utd | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 7 | Inverness CT | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.47% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Inverness CT to win
This prediction indicates that Inverness CT has a 41.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.15 %Most Likely Scorelines
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