Friendlies
Match Analysis
Azerbaijan
Tajikistan
Azerbaijan
L
L
L
L
L
L
Tajikistan
D
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Azerbaijan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 26 | Away | San Marino | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 5, 26 | Home | Malta | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Nov 16, 25 | Home | France | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Nov 13, 25 | Home | Iceland | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Oct 13, 25 | Away | Ukraine | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 10, 25 | Away | France | 3 - 0 | Loss |
Tajikistan Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 26 | Home | India | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 5, 26 | Home | India | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 5, 25 | Away | Cambodia | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Mar 20, 25 | Home | Belarus | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Nov 19, 24 | Home | Afghanistan | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Nov 13, 24 | Home | Nepal | 4 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.43% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Tajikistan to win
This prediction indicates that Tajikistan has a 48.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.34 %Most Likely Scorelines
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