Baghdad vs Karbala Monday 08th June 2026 06:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Baghdad Karbala

Baghdad L L W L L D

Karbala L L L L L L

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Karbala	Baghdad	1 - 2	June 30, 2024
Baghdad	Karbala	3 - 1	December 23, 2023

Baghdad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 2, 26	Away	Erbil	3 - 1	Loss
May 27, 26	Home	Gharraf	1 - 3	Loss
May 19, 26	Away	Diyala	1 - 4	Win
May 15, 26	Home	Al Kahrabaa	0 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Al Karkh	2 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Away	Al Najaf	1 - 1	Draw

Karbala Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 25	Home	Al Hudod	2 - 3	Loss
Jun 27, 25	Home	Naft	2 - 4	Loss
Jun 18, 25	Away	Newroz	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 25	Home	Al-Karma	0 - 2	Loss
May 19, 25	Away	Al Minaa Basra	3 - 1	Loss
May 13, 25	Home	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	1 - 4	Loss

Iraqi League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
18	Baghdad	38	9	8	21	45	69	-24	35
21	Karbala	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.46% likelihood that both Baghdad and Karbala will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Baghdad to win

This prediction indicates that Baghdad has a 50.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.23 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 75.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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