CONCACAF Nations League
Match Analysis
Bahamas
US Virgin Islands
Bahamas
L
W
L
D
L
D
US Virgin Islands
L
D
L
L
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bahamas | US Virgin Islands | 3 - 1 | October 13, 2024 |
| US Virgin Islands | Bahamas | 3 - 3 | September 4, 2024 |
Bahamas Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 24 | Away | Barbados | 6 - 2 | Loss |
| Oct 13, 24 | Home | US Virgin Islands | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Sep 7, 24 | Home | Barbados | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 24 | Away | US Virgin Islands | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Nov 22, 23 | Away | Puerto Rico | 6 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 17, 23 | Away | Antigua and Barbuda | 2 - 2 | Draw |
US Virgin Islands Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 25 | Away | Grenada | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 14, 25 | Home | Turks and Caicos Islands | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Oct 13, 24 | Away | Bahamas | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Oct 10, 24 | Home | Barbados | 0 - 5 | Loss |
| Sep 10, 24 | Away | Barbados | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 24 | Home | Bahamas | 3 - 3 | Draw |
CONCACAF Nations League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| None | US Virgin Islands | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
| None | Bahamas | None | None | None | None | None | None | None | None |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.53% likelihood that both Bahamas and US Virgin Islands will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Bahamas to win
This prediction indicates that Bahamas has a 56.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 17.24 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.69% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 73.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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