Bahrain vs United Arab Emirates Sunday 27th September 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Gulf Cup of Nations

Sept. 27, 2026 4 days, 8 hours from now VS

Bahrain United Arab Emirates

Bahrain L L L L L L

United Arab Emirates W W D L D L

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
United Arab Emirates	Bahrain	1 - 0	September 8, 2025
Bahrain	United Arab Emirates	2 - 1	January 7, 2023
United Arab Emirates	Bahrain	1 - 3	November 16, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Georgia	2 - 0	Loss
Nov 21, 25	Home	Somalia	0 - 1	Loss
Nov 17, 25	Home	Somalia	1 - 2	Loss
Oct 12, 25	Home	Egypt B	0 - 4	Loss
Oct 9, 25	Away	Morocco	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 25	Away	United Arab Emirates	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 25	Home	Bahrain	1 - 0	Win
Sep 4, 25	Home	Syria	3 - 1	Win
Dec 27, 24	Home	Oman	1 - 1	Draw
Dec 24, 24	Home	Kuwait	1 - 2	Loss
Dec 21, 24	Away	Qatar	1 - 1	Draw
Jan 6, 24	Home	Oman	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	United Arab Emirates	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Bahrain	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Bahrain has a 44.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.39 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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