Bahrain vs Yemen Wednesday 30th September 2026 08:30 PM football predictions.

Gulf Cup of Nations

Sept. 30, 2026 1 week from now VS

Bahrain Yemen

Bahrain L L L L L L

Yemen W L L L D W

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bahrain	Yemen	1 - 2	December 28, 2024
Yemen	Bahrain	0 - 1	December 26, 2017

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 5, 26	Away	Georgia	2 - 0	Loss
Nov 21, 25	Home	Somalia	0 - 1	Loss
Nov 17, 25	Home	Somalia	1 - 2	Loss
Oct 12, 25	Home	Egypt B	0 - 4	Loss
Oct 9, 25	Away	Morocco	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 8, 25	Away	United Arab Emirates	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Dec 28, 24	Away	Bahrain	1 - 2	Win
Dec 25, 24	Home	Saudi Arabia	2 - 3	Loss
Dec 22, 24	Away	Iraq	1 - 0	Loss
Dec 16, 24	Away	Oman	1 - 0	Loss
Dec 9, 24	Away	Kuwait	1 - 1	Draw
Nov 19, 24	Away	Sri Lanka	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Yemen	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Bahrain	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Bahrain has a 49.29% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.38 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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