Baltika vs Spartak Moscow Sunday 16th August 2026 07:30 PM football predictions.

Baltika Spartak Moscow

Baltika W L D W W W

Spartak Moscow W D L D W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Baltika	Spartak Moscow	1 - 0	November 29, 2025
Spartak Moscow	Baltika	0 - 3	July 26, 2025
Baltika	Spartak Moscow	1 - 0	May 14, 2024
Baltika	Spartak Moscow	0 - 2	November 25, 2023
Spartak Moscow	Baltika	2 - 1	July 31, 2023
Spartak Moscow	Baltika	3 - 2	June 29, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Dynamo	2 - 1	Win
Jul 24, 26	Away	CSKA Moscow	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	FC Krasnodar	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Tikveš	0 - 6	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Tikveš	0 - 5	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Akron	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Rodina Moskva	3 - 0	Win
Jul 18, 26	Away	Zenit	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Lokomotiv	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Rubin	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Home	Krylia Sovetov	3 - 2	Win
Jul 2, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Spartak Moscow	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
12	Baltika	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.03% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Spartak Moscow has a 41.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.46 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.3% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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