Banga vs Panevėžys Sunday 26th July 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Banga Panevėžys

Banga W W W W D D

Panevėžys L D L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Panevėžys	Banga	1 - 0	May 24, 2026
Banga	Panevėžys	0 - 1	March 21, 2026
Banga	Panevėžys	2 - 2	October 18, 2025
Panevėžys	Banga	1 - 0	August 20, 2025
Banga	Panevėžys	1 - 1	May 23, 2025
Panevėžys	Banga	1 - 1	March 30, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Away	TransINVEST Vilnius	1 - 3	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Hegelmann Litauen	2 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Home	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	3 - 0	Win
Jun 17, 26	Away	Kauno Žalgiris	0 - 1	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Suduva Marijampole	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Home	Šiauliai	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Kauno Žalgiris	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Hegelmann Litauen	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 29, 26	Home	Suduva Marijampole	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Šiauliai	3 - 2	Win
Jun 16, 26	Away	FK Zalgiris Vilnius	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	TransINVEST Vilnius	1 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Banga	20	9	6	5	28	13	+15	33
7	Panevėžys	21	6	4	11	20	38	-18	22

This prediction indicates that Banga has a 54.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.53 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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