A Lyga
Match Analysis
Banga
Panevėžys
Banga
W
L
W
L
W
W
Panevėžys
L
W
D
D
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panevėžys | Banga | 1 - 0 | May 24, 2026 |
| Banga | Panevėžys | 0 - 1 | March 21, 2026 |
| Banga | Panevėžys | 2 - 2 | October 18, 2025 |
| Panevėžys | Banga | 1 - 0 | August 20, 2025 |
| Banga | Panevėžys | 1 - 1 | May 23, 2025 |
| Panevėžys | Banga | 1 - 1 | March 30, 2025 |
Banga Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | FK Zalgiris Vilnius | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Home | Suduva Marijampole | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 3, 26 | Away | Šiauliai | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Džiugas Telšiai | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 12, 26 | Away | TransINVEST Vilnius | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jun 28, 26 | Home | Hegelmann Litauen | 2 - 0 | Win |
Panevėžys Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 26 | Away | Šiauliai | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 10, 26 | Away | TransINVEST Vilnius | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 3, 26 | Home | Džiugas Telšiai | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 30, 26 | Away | FK Tobol Kostanay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 23, 26 | Home | FK Tobol Kostanay | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Kauno Žalgiris | 3 - 0 | Loss |
A Lyga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Banga | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 37 | 21 | +16 | 42 |
| 7 | Panevėžys | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 39 | -16 | 26 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 50.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Banga to win
This prediction indicates that Banga has a 54.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.15 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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