Carioca U20
Match Analysis
Bangu U20
Botafogo U20
Bangu U20
W
L
L
L
D
L
Botafogo U20
L
L
W
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts an away win for Botafogo U20 with a 45% probability. The prediction leans toward Botafogo due to a clear quality gap in their favor and their strong recent attacking form, especially against a Bangu U20 side that has struggled defensively. The model also sees the match as likely to have few goals, expecting an "under" on both the 1.5 and 2.5 goals lines, and anticipates that both teams are unlikely to score ("both teams to score: no" at 44%). Since there are no market odds available for comparison, the model's confidence levels stand on their own qualitative assessments.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Botafogo U20 | Bangu U20 | 2 - 0 | October 25, 2025 |
| Bangu U20 | Botafogo U20 | 0 - 3 | October 18, 2025 |
| Bangu U20 | Botafogo U20 | 1 - 0 | August 2, 2025 |
| Botafogo U20 | Bangu U20 | 5 - 0 | June 29, 2024 |
Bangu U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Maricá U20 | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | Vasco da Gama U20 | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Flamengo U20 | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Fluminense U20 | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Volta Redonda U20 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 1 - 2 | Loss |
Botafogo U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 26 | Home | Flamengo U20 | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Sep 16, 26 | Away | Fluminense U20 | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Volta Redonda U20 | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Madureira U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Boavista U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Carioca U20 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Botafogo U20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 8 |
| 11 | Bangu U20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 4 |
Predictions
Botafogo U20 to win
This prediction indicates that Botafogo U20 has a 54.59% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 23.97 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.74% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments