Baranovichi vs Bate Borisov Sunday 09th August 2026 04:45 PM football predictions.

Baranovichi Bate Borisov

Baranovichi W D D L W W

Bate Borisov D D D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Bate Borisov	Baranovichi	3 - 0	April 5, 2026
Bate Borisov	Baranovichi	1 - 1	January 24, 2026
Bate Borisov	Baranovichi	4 - 1	February 15, 2025
Bate Borisov	Baranovichi	1 - 0	February 25, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	Torpedo Zhodino	1 - 0	Win
Jul 5, 26	Away	Belshina	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 26, 26	Home	Slavia Mozyr	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Naftan	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 13, 26	Home	FC Minsk	2 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	FC Vitebsk	2 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 23, 26	Home	FC Sion	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 16, 26	Home	AF Elbasani	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 7, 26	Away	AF Elbasani	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 2, 26	Home	FC Gomel	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Torpedo Zhodino	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Arsenal	2 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
11	Baranovichi	15	4	4	7	15	26	-11	16
15	Bate Borisov	14	1	6	7	9	17	-8	9

This prediction indicates that Baranovichi has a 42.6% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.97 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.59% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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