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Aug. 31, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

Barcelona Rayo Vallecano
Barcelona W L W D W L
Rayo Vallecano L L W L L L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Barcelona Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 March 22, 2026
Rayo Vallecano Barcelona 1 - 1 August 31, 2025
Barcelona Rayo Vallecano 1 - 0 February 17, 2025
Rayo Vallecano Barcelona 1 - 2 August 27, 2024
Barcelona Rayo Vallecano 3 - 0 May 19, 2024
Rayo Vallecano Barcelona 1 - 1 November 25, 2023

Barcelona Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 16, 26 Away FC Basel 1893 2 - 5 Win
Aug 8, 26 Away Udinese 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Home Nottingham Forest 1 - 0 Win
Jul 31, 26 Away Birmingham 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 24, 26 Home Europa Fc 4 - 1 Win
May 23, 26 Away Valencia 3 - 1 Loss

Rayo Vallecano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 15, 26 Away Sevilla 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 8, 26 Away Ipswich 3 - 0 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Away Charleroi 2 - 3 Win
Jul 26, 26 Away Feyenoord 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 17, 26 Away Heart Of Midlothian 2 - 1 Loss
May 27, 26 Away Crystal Palace 1 - 0 Loss

La Liga Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Barcelona 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
19 Rayo Vallecano 1 0 0 1 1 2 -1 0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.12% likelihood that both Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Barcelona to win
This prediction indicates that Barcelona has a 73.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.35 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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