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EFL Trophy

Aug. 18, 2026 1 week from now VS

Match Analysis

Barnet Arsenal U21
Barnet L D D L D D
Arsenal U21 D L L W W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Barnet Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 8, 26 Away Cambridge United 2 - 1 Loss
Aug 1, 26 Home Bromley 1 - 1 Draw
Jul 28, 26 Home Dons 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 25, 26 Home Oxford United 1 - 2 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Luton 2 - 2 Draw
Jul 14, 26 Home Watford 2 - 2 Draw

Arsenal U21 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 17, 26 Away Boreham Wood 1 - 1 Draw
Nov 11, 25 Away Cardiff 3 - 1 Loss
Oct 28, 25 Away Exeter City 4 - 3 Loss
Sep 23, 25 Away Newport County 1 - 2 Win
Aug 9, 25 Away Monaco U21 0 - 2 Win
Aug 2, 25 Away Chelmsford City 2 - 0 Loss

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.89% likelihood that both Barnet and Arsenal U21 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Barnet to win
This prediction indicates that Barnet has a 52.1% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.16 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.44% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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