Barra vs AO Itabaiana Monday 17th August 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Barra AO Itabaiana

Barra L L W L D L

AO Itabaiana D W W W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Away	Ypiranga-RS	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Santa Cruz	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Confiança	1 - 2	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Floresta	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Amazonas	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 15, 26	Away	Ferroviária	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Away	Confiança	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 13, 26	Home	Brusque	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Amazonas	0 - 2	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	Ferroviária	1 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Anápolis	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Ituano	2 - 2	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
17	AO Itabaiana	15	4	5	6	13	18	-5	17
18	Barra	15	3	6	6	17	17	0	15

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.99% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Barra has a 45.65% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.80 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.53% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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