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Copa Colombia

Aug. 11, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Barranquilla Millonarios
Barranquilla D D L L W L
Millonarios L L L W L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Barranquilla Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 29, 26 Home Junior 3 - 3 Draw
Jul 23, 26 Away Junior 2 - 2 Draw
Jun 15, 25 Home Alianza Petrolera 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 7, 25 Away Envigado 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 4, 25 Home Orsomarso 2 - 0 Win
May 31, 25 Away Rionegro Aguilas 1 - 0 Loss

Millonarios Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Bucaramanga 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 18, 26 Home Colo Colo 0 - 1 Loss
Jul 11, 26 Away Universitario 2 - 0 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Depor FC 1 - 8 Win
May 26, 26 Home O'Higgins 1 - 2 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Chico 2 - 2 Draw

Predictions

Millonarios to win
This prediction indicates that Millonarios has a 47.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.97 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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