Barrow vs AFC Hornchurch Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Barrow AFC Hornchurch

Barrow W D W W L L

AFC Hornchurch L W W D W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Blackpool	2 - 0	Win
Jul 21, 26	Away	Radcliffe	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 18, 26	Home	Mansfield Town	4 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Workington	2 - 0	Win
May 2, 26	Home	Newport County	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Cambridge United	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Away	Enfield Town	4 - 2	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Tottenham Hotspur U21	3 - 1	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Leyton Orient	2 - 1	Win
Jul 18, 26	Home	Norwich City U21	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 14, 26	Home	Millwall U21	3 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Redbridge	0 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	AFC Hornchurch	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Barrow	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that AFC Hornchurch has a 37.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.07 %

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