Premier League
Match Analysis
Barry Town
Cardiff MET
Barry Town
W
W
L
W
W
W
Cardiff MET
W
W
D
D
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Barry Town and Cardiff MET are both coming off strong recent performances, setting the stage for an engaging match. However, the model sees a clear quality gap favoring Barry Town, which influences its outlook despite their recent meetings often ending in draws. The model predicts a home win with a 54% probability, which is notably more confident than what the current market odds suggest. Additionally, the model expects both teams to score and for the match to feature more than 1.5 and 2.5 goals, aligning closely with the market's inclination towards a higher-scoring game.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Town | Cardiff MET | 1 - 0 | December 26, 2025 |
| Cardiff MET | Barry Town | 1 - 1 | August 25, 2025 |
| Barry Town | Cardiff MET | 2 - 1 | December 10, 2024 |
| Cardiff MET | Barry Town | 1 - 1 | August 16, 2024 |
| Barry Town | Cardiff MET | 0 - 0 | December 30, 2023 |
| Cardiff MET | Barry Town | 2 - 1 | October 6, 2023 |
Barry Town Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Flint Town United | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Cambrian & Clydach | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Gloucester City | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Weymouth | 2 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Trethomas Bluebirds | 5 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Yate Town | 0 - 1 | Win |
Cardiff MET Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 7, 26 | Away | Airbus UK | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Holywell | 6 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 24, 26 | Away | Ebbsfleet United | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | Brackley Town | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jul 7, 26 | Away | Carmarthen Town | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Afan Lido | 2 - 1 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cardiff MET | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | +7 | 6 |
| 6 | Barry Town | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 6 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.34% likelihood that both Barry Town and Cardiff MET will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Barry Town to win
This prediction indicates that Barry Town has a 54.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.59 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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