Bedford Town vs Buxton Tuesday 18th August 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bedford Town Buxton

Bedford Town L W W W D D

Buxton W W W L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Buxton	Bedford Town	3 - 0	March 21, 2026
Bedford Town	Buxton	3 - 0	November 11, 2025

Bedford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Kettering Town	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Walton & Hersham	2 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Biggleswade	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Berkhamsted	2 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	Aldershot Town	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Scarborough Athletic	1 - 1	Draw

Buxton Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Warrington Town	1 - 2	Win
Jul 21, 26	Home	Scunthorpe	2 - 0	Win
Jul 10, 26	Home	Ashton United	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	SC Braga	1 - 3	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	South Shields	1 - 0	Loss
Apr 28, 26	Home	Scarborough Athletic	4 - 2	Win

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Buxton	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Bedford Town	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.59% likelihood that both Bedford Town and Buxton will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Buxton to win

This prediction indicates that Buxton has a 52.02% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.95 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.33% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.75% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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