Bedford Town vs Darlington 1883 Saturday 15th August 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Bedford Town Darlington 1883

Bedford Town W W W D D D

Darlington 1883 L L L W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Darlington 1883	Bedford Town	2 - 0	February 28, 2026
Bedford Town	Darlington 1883	3 - 4	November 29, 2025

Bedford Town Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	Walton & Hersham	2 - 0	Win
Jul 14, 26	Home	Biggleswade	2 - 0	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Berkhamsted	2 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Home	Aldershot Town	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Scarborough Athletic	1 - 1	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Away	South Shields	1 - 1	Draw

Darlington 1883 Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 28, 26	Home	Rotherham	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 21, 26	Home	Carlisle	2 - 4	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Newcastle	3 - 0	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Stockton Town	1 - 3	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Redcar Athletic	0 - 4	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Oxford City	1 - 3	Loss

National League - North Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Darlington 1883	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Bedford Town	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.15% likelihood that both Bedford Town and Darlington 1883 will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Bedford Town or Darlington 1883 to win

This prediction indicates that Bedford Town has a 37.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.01 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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