Beijing Guoan vs Shenyang Urban Friday 17th July 2026 02:35 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Beijing Guoan Shenyang Urban

Beijing Guoan W W W L D W

Shenyang Urban L L W W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Shenyang Urban	Beijing Guoan	2 - 1	April 4, 2026

Beijing Guoan Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Wuhan Three Towns	1 - 0	Win
Jun 19, 26	Away	Guangzhou E-Power	1 - 2	Win
May 30, 26	Away	Chongqing Tongliang Long	2 - 3	Win
May 23, 26	Home	Henan Jianye	1 - 2	Loss
May 19, 26	Away	Qingdao Youth Island	1 - 1	Draw
May 15, 26	Home	Qingdao Jonoon	4 - 2	Win

Shenyang Urban Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Home	Shandong Luneng	1 - 5	Loss
Jun 19, 26	Away	Dalian Kewei	1 - 0	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	SHANGHAI SIPG	3 - 2	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Hangzhou Greentown	0 - 5	Win
May 20, 26	Home	Qingdao Jonoon	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Wuhan Three Towns	2 - 2	Draw

Super League Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
5	Beijing Guoan	16	6	5	5	27	23	+4	23
14	Shenyang Urban	16	5	2	9	21	28	-7	17

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.31% likelihood that both Beijing Guoan and Shenyang Urban will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Beijing Guoan to win

This prediction indicates that Beijing Guoan has a 49.38% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.53 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 67.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 65.76% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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