Beitar Jerusalem vs AEK Larnaca Thursday 30th July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Beitar Jerusalem AEK Larnaca

Beitar Jerusalem W D D D D W

AEK Larnaca L L W W D D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Beitar Jerusalem	AEK Larnaca	0 - 0	July 22, 2021

Beitar Jerusalem Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 9, 26	Home	Dukagjini	1 - 0	Win
Jul 7, 26	Away	Arda Kardzhali	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Away	Botev Vratsa	2 - 2	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Hapoel Tel Aviv	1 - 1	Draw
May 19, 26	Away	Hapoel Petah Tikva	0 - 0	Draw
May 16, 26	Away	Maccabi Tel Aviv	1 - 2	Win

AEK Larnaca Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Away	Ajax	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 7, 26	Away	PAOK	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Away	Helmond Sport	1 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Aris	3 - 4	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Pafos	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Away	Omonia Nicosia	1 - 1	Draw

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.03% likelihood that both Beitar Jerusalem and AEK Larnaca will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Beitar Jerusalem to win

This prediction indicates that Beitar Jerusalem has a 53.04% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.09 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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