Bentleigh Greens vs Melbourne City II Friday 21st August 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Victoria NPL

Bentleigh Greens

Aug. 22, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

2 – 6

Full Time

Melbourne City II

Match Analysis

Bentleigh Greens Melbourne City II

Bentleigh Greens D D L W L L

Melbourne City II L L L L L D

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts an away win for Melbourne City II with a 36% probability. While Melbourne City II has a modest quality edge, both teams are showing poor recent form, making the outcome uncertain. The model also sees a good chance that both teams will score (57%) and that there will be more than one goal in the game (60%), aligning with the "both teams to score" sure tip flag. The market odds suggest slightly less confidence in an away win and in both teams scoring than the model does.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Melbourne City II	Bentleigh Greens	0 - 7	May 8, 2026

Bentleigh Greens Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 14, 26	Away	St. Albans Saints	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 31, 26	Home	Oakleigh Cannons	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 24, 26	Away	Preston Lions	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Dandenong City	2 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	Dandenong Thunder	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Green Gully	3 - 0	Loss

Melbourne City II Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 19, 26	Away	Preston Lions	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 15, 26	Home	South Melbourne	0 - 3	Loss
Aug 1, 26	Away	Hume City	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 25, 26	Home	Avondale	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Away	Sunshine Georgies	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Heidelberg United	2 - 2	Draw

Victoria NPL Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	Melbourne City II	24	7	6	11	32	41	-9	27
12	Bentleigh Greens	24	6	6	12	28	40	-12	24

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.24% likelihood that both Bentleigh Greens and Melbourne City II will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Melbourne City II to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that Melbourne City II has a 35.98% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.28 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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