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Victoria NPL logo

Victoria NPL

June 19, 2026 1 week, 3 days ago
1 – 5
Full Time

Match Analysis

Bentleigh Greens South Melbourne
Bentleigh Greens L L D D W L
South Melbourne L D L L L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
South Melbourne Bentleigh Greens 1 - 0 March 7, 2026
Bentleigh Greens South Melbourne 0 - 2 July 15, 2023
South Melbourne Bentleigh Greens 1 - 0 April 15, 2023
South Melbourne Bentleigh Greens 3 - 2 May 28, 2022
Bentleigh Greens South Melbourne 2 - 3 February 25, 2022
South Melbourne Bentleigh Greens 1 - 1 May 22, 2021

Bentleigh Greens Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 5, 26 Home Hume City 1 - 5 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Avondale 4 - 0 Loss
May 22, 26 Home Sunshine Georgies 0 - 0 Draw
May 15, 26 Home Heidelberg United 2 - 2 Draw
May 8, 26 Away Melbourne City II 0 - 7 Win
May 1, 26 Home St. Albans Saints 2 - 4 Loss

South Melbourne Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 7, 26 Home Altona Magic 2 - 3 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Hume City 1 - 1 Draw
May 25, 26 Home Avondale 0 - 4 Loss
May 18, 26 Home Sunshine Georgies 0 - 4 Loss
May 8, 26 Away Heidelberg United 4 - 0 Loss
May 1, 26 Home Melbourne City II 1 - 2 Loss

Victoria NPL Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
8 South Melbourne 16 7 1 8 22 29 -7 22
10 Bentleigh Greens 16 5 4 7 23 26 -3 19

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that both Bentleigh Greens and South Melbourne will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Bentleigh Greens to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Bentleigh Greens has a 40.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.14 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.49% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.38% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips
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