Virsliga
Match Analysis
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
W
W
L
D
W
D
Tukums
L
L
L
L
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tukums | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 1 | June 12, 2026 |
| Tukums | BFC Daugavpils | 1 - 1 | April 21, 2026 |
| Tukums | BFC Daugavpils | 0 - 1 | August 30, 2025 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | 1 - 2 | June 21, 2025 |
| Tukums | BFC Daugavpils | 0 - 0 | April 30, 2025 |
| BFC Daugavpils | Tukums | 3 - 0 | March 7, 2025 |
BFC Daugavpils Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 19, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 0 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | FK Liepaja | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Away | Rīgas FS | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 25, 26 | Home | Riga | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Jun 20, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 16, 26 | Home | Super Nova | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Tukums Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Riga | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Grobiņa | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 1, 26 | Home | Super Nova | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Ogre United | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 21, 26 | Away | FS Jelgava | 4 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Auda | 2 - 1 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | BFC Daugavpils | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 29 | 29 | 0 | 30 |
| 9 | Tukums | 23 | 3 | 8 | 12 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that both BFC Daugavpils and Tukums will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.BFC Daugavpils to win
This prediction indicates that BFC Daugavpils has a 56.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.44 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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