Birmingham Legion vs Las Vegas Lights Sunday 14th June 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Birmingham Legion Las Vegas Lights

Birmingham Legion D L D W D W

Las Vegas Lights D W L W L D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Birmingham Legion	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 3	October 13, 2024
Las Vegas Lights	Birmingham Legion	3 - 3	July 9, 2023
Birmingham Legion	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 0	May 19, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 4, 26	Home	Louisville City	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	2 - 0	Loss
May 8, 26	Home	Miami FC	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Rhode Island	1 - 3	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Indy Eleven	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 12, 26	Home	Pittsburgh Riverhounds	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 31, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	New Mexico United	3 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	Lexington	2 - 1	Win
Apr 23, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	4 - 2	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Home	Sacramento Republic	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
20	Las Vegas Lights	11	3	3	5	16	19	-3	12
21	Birmingham Legion	10	2	5	3	11	12	-1	11

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.55% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

This prediction indicates that Birmingham Legion has a 40.57% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.90 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.1% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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