USL Championship
Match Analysis
Birmingham Legion
Louisville City
Birmingham Legion
L
D
W
D
W
D
Louisville City
L
L
L
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville City | Birmingham Legion | 4 - 2 | June 15, 2025 |
| Birmingham Legion | Louisville City | 1 - 1 | March 16, 2025 |
| Birmingham Legion | Louisville City | 1 - 4 | June 29, 2024 |
| Louisville City | Birmingham Legion | 5 - 0 | March 30, 2024 |
| Birmingham Legion | Louisville City | 2 - 0 | August 19, 2023 |
| Louisville City | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 2 | July 23, 2023 |
Birmingham Legion Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 26 | Away | Monterey Bay | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| May 8, 26 | Home | Miami FC | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Rhode Island | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | Indy Eleven | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Apr 12, 26 | Home | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 4, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 2 - 2 | Draw |
Louisville City Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 30, 26 | Home | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 23, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 4 - 3 | Loss |
| May 9, 26 | Home | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| May 2, 26 | Away | Detroit City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Apr 18, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Apr 10, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 3 - 3 | Draw |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Louisville City | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 16 |
| 21 | Birmingham Legion | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 10 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.27% likelihood that both Birmingham Legion and Louisville City will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Correct Prediction! ✅
Louisville City to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Louisville City has a 43.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.13 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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