Birmingham Legion vs New Mexico United Saturday 25th July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Birmingham Legion New Mexico United

Birmingham Legion D L D D L D

New Mexico United W D W D D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
New Mexico United	Birmingham Legion	1 - 1	July 21, 2024
Birmingham Legion	New Mexico United	1 - 0	September 10, 2023
New Mexico United	Birmingham Legion	0 - 2	June 26, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Away	Miami FC	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Home	Detroit City	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Loudoun United	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 17, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	Las Vegas Lights	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 4, 26	Home	Louisville City	1 - 1	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 5, 26	Home	Oakland Roots	2 - 1	Win
Jul 2, 26	Home	Atlante FC	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Sacramento Republic	0 - 1	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	Orange County SC	1 - 1	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Hartford Athletic	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Home	Charleston Battery	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
9	New Mexico United	13	6	3	4	15	14	+1	21
22	Birmingham Legion	15	2	8	5	16	19	-3	14

This prediction indicates that New Mexico United has a 43.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.54 %

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