USL Championship
Match Analysis
Birmingham Legion
New Mexico United
Birmingham Legion
L
L
L
W
L
D
New Mexico United
L
W
D
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| New Mexico United | Birmingham Legion | 1 - 1 | July 21, 2024 |
| Birmingham Legion | New Mexico United | 1 - 0 | September 10, 2023 |
| New Mexico United | Birmingham Legion | 0 - 2 | June 26, 2022 |
Birmingham Legion Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Away | Hartford Athletic | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Sporting JAX | 2 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 16, 26 | Away | Colorado Springs | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Rhode Island | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Louisville City | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 5, 26 | Away | Miami FC | 1 - 1 | Draw |
New Mexico United Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 30, 26 | Home | San Antonio | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Lexington | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Loudoun United | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 16, 26 | Home | FC Tulsa | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Monterey Bay | 2 - 5 | Win |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Colorado Springs | 1 - 0 | Win |
USL Championship Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | New Mexico United | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | +10 | 37 |
| 22 | Birmingham Legion | 20 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 17 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.63% likelihood that both Birmingham Legion and New Mexico United will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Birmingham Legion to win
This prediction indicates that Birmingham Legion has a 42.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.06 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.68% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.25% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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